MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 07:38:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
1 - 2
Szczecin

Matras (89')
Wlazlo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koulouris (54'), Przyborek (65')
Borges (42'), Smolinski (86'), Lisowski (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Jagiellonia
Friday, February 7 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-0 Gornik
Friday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Stal MielecDrawPogon Szczecin
33.09% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09) 25.91% (0.026 0.03) 41% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 54% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.125 -0.13)50.23% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.11 -0.11)72.18% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.122 -0.12)28.74% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.152 -0.15)64.58% (0.152 0.15)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)58.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 33.09%
    Pogon Szczecin 41%
    Draw 25.9%
Stal MielecDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 4
Szczecin
1-0
Stal Mielec
Gorgon (85')
Ulvestad (27')

Guillaumier (17'), Gerbowski (30'), Wolkowicz (57'), Shkurin (74')
May 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Stal Mielec
0-0
Szczecin
Shkurin (82')
Loncar (90+3')
Nov 25, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Szczecin
2-3
Stal Mielec
Bichakhchyan (21'), Koulouris (27')
Shkurin (6', 55', 84')
Ehmann (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Rakow CzestochowaRakow25157337162152
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia25156447301751
3Lech Poznan25162747212650
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin25134841281343
5Legia WarsawLegia25117748351340
6Gornik ZabrzeGornik2512493629740
7KS CracoviaCracovia2510874439538
8Motor Lublin2510693544-936
9Katowice2596103331233
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice258982626033
11Korona Kielce258982431-733
12Radomiak Radom2594123439-531
13Widzew Lodz2586112839-1130
14Puszcza Niepolomice2567122435-1125
15Stal Mielec2565142638-1223
16Zaglebie Lubin2565142138-1723
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2556142644-1821
18Slask Wroclaw2539132539-1418


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!