MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:22:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
1 - 2
Szczecin

Matras (89')
Wlazlo (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Koulouris (54'), Przyborek (65')
Borges (42'), Smolinski (86'), Lisowski (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Jagiellonia
Friday, February 7 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 3-0 Gornik
Friday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 41%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Stal MielecDrawPogon Szczecin
33.09% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09) 25.91% (0.026 0.03) 41% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 54% (-0.104 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.125 -0.13)50.23% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.11 -0.11)72.18% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.122 -0.12)28.74% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.152 -0.15)64.58% (0.152 0.15)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)58.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 33.09%
    Pogon Szczecin 41%
    Draw 25.9%
Stal MielecDrawPogon Szczecin
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.73% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.12%
0-3 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 41%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 7.15pm
Gameweek 4
Szczecin
1-0
Stal Mielec
Gorgon (85')
Ulvestad (27')

Guillaumier (17'), Gerbowski (30'), Wolkowicz (57'), Shkurin (74')
May 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 33
Stal Mielec
0-0
Szczecin
Shkurin (82')
Loncar (90+3')
Nov 25, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Szczecin
2-3
Stal Mielec
Bichakhchyan (21'), Koulouris (27')
Shkurin (6', 55', 84')
Ehmann (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan24162646192750
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow24147334142049
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia24146445291648
4Legia WarsawLegia24117646321440
5Pogon SzczecinSzczecin24124836261040
6KS CracoviaCracovia2410864234838
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik2411493229337
8Motor Lublin2410683540-536
9Katowice249693330333
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice248972524133
11Korona Kielce248882330-732
12Radomiak Radom2484123238-628
13Widzew Lodz2476112739-1227
14Stal Mielec2465132534-923
15Puszcza Niepolomice2457122234-1222
16Zaglebie Lubin2464142037-1722
17Lechia GdanskGdansk2456132542-1721
18Slask Wroclaw2429132138-1715


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