Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-23s win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Manchester United Under-23s had a probability of 38.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.97%) and 3-2 (4.58%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-23s would win this match.
