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Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 29, 2023 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
2 - 3
Brighton U21s

Gibson-Hammond (74', 82')
Radcliffe (55'), Fapetu (68')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mullins (16'), O'Mahony (28'), Flower (90+2')
Kavanagh (90')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland U21s 3-1 Derby U21s
Monday, September 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 66.18%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
16.34% (0.636 0.64) 17.47% (0.372 0.37) 66.18% (-1.003 -1)
Both teams to score 64.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.11% (-0.55900000000001 -0.56)27.89% (0.566 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.39% (-0.702 -0.7)48.61% (0.70999999999999 0.71)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (0.33 0.33)29.95% (-0.323 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94% (0.392 0.39)66.07% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.06% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)7.94% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.95% (-0.887 -0.89)28.05% (0.894 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 16.34%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 66.18%
    Draw 17.48%
Derby County Under-21sDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.38% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 2.87% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.075 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.73% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 16.34%
1-1 @ 7.26% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.38% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 17.48%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 7.77% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.44% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 6.03% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 4.92% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 4.68% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-4 @ 4.08% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-4 @ 2.97% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.07% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-5 @ 1.5% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.05% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.18%

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