MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:13:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 1, 2023 at 6pm UK
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground

Aston Villa U21s
3 - 1
Derby U21s

Broggio (4'), Moore (7'), Richards (20')
Munroe (40'), Rowe (60'), Smith (78')
Munroe (57')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Brown (32')
Gibson-Hammond (10'), Johnson (36'), Jeffcott (67'), C. Lindsay (88'), Lindsay (88')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby U21s 0-2 Spurs U21s
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 55.06%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
55.06% (0.776 0.78) 20.68% (-0.215 -0.22) 24.26% (-0.559 -0.56)
Both teams to score 65.99% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.29% (0.461 0.46)31.71% (-0.459 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.78% (0.538 0.54)53.22% (-0.536 -0.54)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.29% (0.371 0.37)11.71% (-0.367 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (0.785 0.78)36.83% (-0.78299999999999 -0.78)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.74% (-0.152 -0.15)25.26% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.99% (-0.211 -0.21)60.01% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 55.06%
    Derby County Under-21s 24.26%
    Draw 20.68%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.095 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 4.6% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.59% (0.103 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.61% (0.085 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.059 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.066 0.07)
4-3 @ 1.13% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.052 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.06% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.44% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.96% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.26%

Head to Head
Apr 14, 2023 7pm
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
Derby U21s
0-2
Aston Villa U21s
Afoka (11'), Firth (63')
rhs 2.0
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