Premier League 2 - Div 2

Apr 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Derby U21s
1 - 4
Newcastle U21s

Robinson (72')
Bates (17'), Oduroh (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Miley (30'), Diallo (44' pen.), Miley (57'), Ndiweni (63')
Brown (51'), Murphy (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Friday, April 14 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle U21s 4-3 Norwich U21s
Monday, April 17 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
10.79% ( 0.27)	14.03% ( 0.21)	75.18% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 61.93% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.93% (

-0.26)

24.07% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.31% (

-0.35)

43.69% (

0.35)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

0.24)

34.53% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

0.25)

71.25% (

-0.25)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.6% (

-0.13)

5.4% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.84% (

-0.39)

21.16% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-21s 10.79%

Newcastle United Under-21s 75.18%

Draw 14.03%

Derby County Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 10.79%	1-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 14.03%	1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 5.64% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 3.29% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 0-6 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 2-6 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.22% Total : 75.18%