Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.79%) and 0-2 (5.09%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.
