Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.