Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 45.26%. A win for West Bromwich Albion Under-23s had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.57%) and 1-0 (5.43%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-23s would win this match.
