Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley Under-23s win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 3-1 (5.34%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley Under-23s would win this match.
