Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-23s win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City Under-23s in this match.
