Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2021 at 8pm UK

Falmer Stadium

Brighton
2 - 0
Brentford

Trossard (34'), Maupay (42')
Webster (59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bech Sorensen (38'), Norgaard (45'), Toney (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Brentford

Having established a considerable gap between themselves and the bottom three, there is a certain degree of freedom for both teams to push for all three points. Nevertheless, we can only see a low-scoring share of the spoils, a result which would take both teams one small step closer to survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Brentford
42.58%	27.68%	29.73%

Both teams to score 47.29%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.79%

58.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.15%

78.85%

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96%

27.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6%

62.39%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82%

35.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07%

71.93%

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 42.58%

Brentford 29.73%

Draw 27.67%

Brighton & Hove Albion	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 12.44% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.51% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.73%