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Premier League | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Brentford logo

Brighton
2 - 0
Brentford

Trossard (34'), Maupay (42')
Webster (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bech Sorensen (38'), Norgaard (45'), Toney (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Brentford

Having established a considerable gap between themselves and the bottom three, there is a certain degree of freedom for both teams to push for all three points. Nevertheless, we can only see a low-scoring share of the spoils, a result which would take both teams one small step closer to survival. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
42.58%27.68%29.73%
Both teams to score 47.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.79%58.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.15%78.85%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96%27.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.6%62.39%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82%35.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07%71.93%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 42.58%
    Brentford 29.73%
    Draw 27.67%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 12.44%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 8.14%
3-1 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 42.58%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 5.19%
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.81%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 29.73%

How you voted: Brighton vs Brentford

Brighton & Hove Albion
47.0%
Draw
31.0%
Brentford
22.0%
200
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Brentford
0-1
Brighton

Canos (6'), Mbeumo (17'), Ajer (74')
Trossard (90')
Veltman (55'), Duffy (57')
Feb 5, 2017 3pm
Brentford
3-3
Brighton
Jota (15'), Dean (22'), Kerschbaumer (94')
McEachran (64'), Kerschbaumer (91')
March (75'), Duffy (78'), Hemed (97')
Sidwell (64'), Saltor (95')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Brighton
0-2
Brentford

Knockaert (32'), Hemed (45'), Bong (60'), Manu (63'), Stephens (75')
Hogan (29', 70')
Woods (26'), Egan (43')
Feb 5, 2016 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2015 1pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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