Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.