Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.