Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 16.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.