Man City

2 - 1

West Ham

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester City in this match.