Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 62.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Chelsea win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.