Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 21, 2023 at 4pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
1 - 0
Chelsea

Alvarez (12')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Havertz (18'), Fernandez (66')

Manchester City players react after celebrating "special" Premier League title

Manchester City's Ilkay Gundogan, Kevin De Bruyne, Erling Braut Haaland, Jack Grealish, Kyle Walker and John Stones all react after celebrating the Premier League title.

May 21, 22:48

Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola poses with the trophy as he celebrates after winning the Premier League on May 21, 2023

Pep Guardiola: 'We must win Champions League to be considered one of the best'

Pep Guardiola believes his Manchester City side must win the Champions League if they are to be "considered one of the best teams".

May 21, 22:25

Chelsea caretaker manager Frank Lampard on May 21, 2023.

Frank Lampard taking positives from Chelsea display in Manchester City defeat

Caretaker manager Frank Lampard says that his Chelsea side began to show "pride" as they went down by a 1-0 scoreline at Premier League champions Manchester City.

May 21, 19:19

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Chelsea had a probability of 12.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.63%), while for a Chelsea win it was 1-2 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
70.91% ( -2.53)	16.71% ( 1.31)	12.37% ( 1.22)

Both teams to score 55.97% (

-1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.46% (

-3.19)

33.54% (

3.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.66% (

-3.73)

55.34% (

3.73)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.61% (

-1.29)

8.38% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.83% (

-3.3)

29.17% (

3.29)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.09% (

-0.26)

38.91% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.36% (

-0.25)

75.63% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 70.91%

Chelsea 12.37%

Draw 16.71%

Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.83) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.42) 5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.41) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.24) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.21) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.25) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.25) Other @ 3.17% Total : 70.91%	1-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.52) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.71%	1-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.32) 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.37%