Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 34

May 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
3 - 2
Newcastle

Mainoo (31'), Diallo (57'), Hojlund (84')
Casemiro (62'), Diallo (81'), Amrabat (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (49'), Hall (90+2')
Anderson (37'), Gordon (68'), Schar (78')

'He loves Manchester United' - Erik ten Hag delivers update on Bruno Fernandes future

Erik ten Hag delivers an update on the future of Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes, who has been linked with a summer exit amid reported interest from Bayern Munich and Inter Milan.

May 15, 23:30

Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag applauds the fans after the match on May 15, 2024

Erik ten Hag praises three Manchester United players after Newcastle United win

Erik ten Hag praises the performances of three Manchester United players following their 3-2 win at home against Newcastle United in the Premier League on Wednesday.

May 16, 07:15

Newcastle United's Anthony Gordon in action with Manchester United's Casemiro and Sofyan Amrabat on May 15, 2024

Eddie Howe, Anthony Gordon slam VAR decision in defeat at Manchester United

Eddie Howe and Anthony Gordon hit out at VAR as they believe Newcastle United should have been awarded a 'stonewall' penalty in Wednesday's 3-2 defeat at Manchester United in the Premier League.

May 16, 07:44

Erik ten Hag receives mixed reaction during Old Trafford speech

Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag receives a mixed reception from the Old Trafford crowd during his speech on Wednesday.

May 16, 16:09

Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford on December 26, 2023

Marcus Rashford argues with Manchester United fan before Newcastle United clash

Marcus Rashford was involved in a heated exchange with a Manchester United fan before Wednesday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

May 16, 16:29

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.75%) and 1-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
46.76% ( 0.06)	21.74% ( -0.01)	31.49% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 68.34% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.79% (

0.01)

31.2% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.37% (

0.01)

52.63% (

-0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

0.02)

14.05% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.37% (

0.04)

41.63% (

-0.04)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52% (

-0.02)

20.48% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.04% (

-0.04)

52.95% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 46.76%

Newcastle United 31.49%

Draw 21.74%

Manchester United	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.76%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0) Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.49%