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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
Burnley logo

Newcastle
3 - 1
Burnley

Saint-Maximin (14'), Wilson (65', 77' pen.)
Joelinton (37'), Lewis (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Westwood (61')
Tarkowski (37'), Barnes (40'), McNeil (69')

The Match

Match Report

The summer signing has scored four times in as many league games for the Magpies.

Team News

The French winger has sat out the last three games with an ankle problem.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
38.9%28.42%32.67%
Both teams to score 46.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.94%60.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71%80.28%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70%29.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.11%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99%34.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31%70.69%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 38.9%
    Burnley 32.67%
    Draw 28.41%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 7.98%
2-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.41%
0-1 @ 11%
1-2 @ 7.14%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 32.67%

Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Feb 26, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 28
Newcastle
2-0
Burnley
Schar (24'), Longstaff (38')
Longstaff (22')

Mee (39'), Hendrick (60'), Crouch (88')
Nov 26, 2018 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-2
Newcastle
Vokes (40')
Mee (4' og.), Clark (23')
Ritchie (90')
Jan 31, 2018 7.45pm
Newcastle
1-1
Burnley
Lascelles (65')
Yedlin (30')
Darlow (85' og.)
Barnes (63'), Vokes (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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