

Newcastle4 - 1Man Utd
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, April 7 at 8pm in Premier League
for
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Europa League
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Manchester United |
41.08% (![]() | 22.71% (![]() | 36.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.48% (![]() | 34.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.55% (![]() | 56.44% (![]() |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.52% (![]() | 17.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.04% (![]() | 47.95% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% (![]() | 19.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% (![]() | 51.61% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Manchester United |
2-1 @ 8.5% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 7.93% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.21% |
How you voted: Newcastle vs Man Utd










