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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Manchester United logo

Newcastle
4 - 1
Man Utd

Tonali (24'), Barnes (49', 64'), Guimaraes (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Garnacho (37')
Ugarte (16'), Yoro (43')

The Match

Match Report

Harvey Barnes scores twice as Newcastle United record a 4-1 victory over Manchester United in Sunday afternoon's Premier League contest at St James' Park.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Manchester United at St James' Park.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester United's injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United at St James' Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester United
41.08% (-0.236 -0.24) 22.71% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 36.21% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 66.32% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.48% (0.125 0.13)34.51% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.55% (0.14 0.14)56.44% (-0.144 -0.14)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.52% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)17.47% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.04% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)47.95% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (0.17699999999999 0.18)19.64% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (0.286 0.29)51.61% (-0.289 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.08%
    Manchester United 36.21%
    Draw 22.71%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.92% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.71%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.3% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.75% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.47% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Man Utd

Newcastle United
Draw
Manchester United
Newcastle United
70.2%
Draw
13.8%
Manchester United
16.0%
225
Head to Head
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Gameweek 19
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0-2
Newcastle

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Isak (4'), Joelinton (19')
Schar (80')
May 15, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Man Utd
3-2
Newcastle
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Gordon (49'), Hall (90+2')
Anderson (37'), Gordon (68'), Schar (78')
Dec 2, 2023 8pm
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Joelinton (90+7')

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Round of 16
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Newcastle

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Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Newcastle
2-0
Man Utd
Willock (65'), Wilson (88')
Build-up
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15 days ago
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool33247275314479
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331851062441859
6Chelsea33169858401857
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Bournemouth3313101052401249
9Fulham33139114845348
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton33121295353048
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Everton33814113440-638
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd33108153846-838
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33115174861-1338
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs331141861511037
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3399153755-1836
18Ipswich TownIpswich3349203371-3821
19Leicester CityLeicester3346232773-4618
20Southampton3325262478-5411


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