MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:34:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arsenal logo
Aston Villa logo
Bournemouth logo
Brentford logo
Brighton logo
Chelsea logo
Crystal Palace logo
Everton logo
Fulham logo
Ipswich logo
Leicester logo
Liverpool logo
Manchester City logo
Manchester United logo
Newcastle logo
Nottingham Forest logo
Southampton logo
Spurs logo
West Ham logo
Wolves logo
Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Schar (58'), Wilson (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
45.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 28.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)61.41% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7% (-0.038 -0.04)81.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)27.26% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)62.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)76.06% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.01%
    Nottingham Forest 26.74%
    Draw 28.23%
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest

Newcastle United
57.9%
Draw
17.5%
Nottingham Forest
24.6%
57
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
Newcastle
3-1
Nott'm Forest
Ritchie (4'), Gayle (63', 81')
Clark (12'), Colback (53'), Yedlin (65')
Dumitru (29')
Lam (26'), Mills (59'), Pereira (61')
Mills (60')
Dec 2, 2016 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-1
Newcastle
Bendtner (52'), Lascelles (86' og.)
Mancienne (44'), Lansbury (72')
Ritchie (45')
Darlow (45'), Gouffran (53'), Yedlin (93')
Shelvey (33'), Dummett (45')
Mar 29, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!