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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Schar (58'), Wilson (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Worrall (15'), Williams (23'), O'Brien (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Nottingham Forest

Given the standard of players that have been signed by Forest, it would be naive to rule out the visitors from causing a surprise in the North East. However, despite Forest likely to have a spring in their step, Newcastle's greater quality and experience should shine through come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.01%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
45.01% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 28.24% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.74% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.59% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)61.41% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7% (-0.038 -0.04)81.3% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)27.26% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)62.69% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)76.06% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.01%
    Nottingham Forest 26.74%
    Draw 28.23%
Newcastle UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 45.01%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Nott'm Forest

Newcastle United
57.9%
Draw
17.5%
Nottingham Forest
24.6%
57
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
3-1
Newcastle
Murphy (2'), Cash (90'), Dias (90')
Dias (68'), Hefele (76'), Robinson (83')
Rondon (90')
Joselu (76'), Longstaff (80'), Perez (90')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Newcastle
2-3
Nott'm Forest
Mitrovic (3'), Aarons (45')
Hanley (85')
Cummings (29', 31'), Walker (97')
Worrall (83'), Mancienne (111')
Dec 30, 2016 7.45pm
Newcastle
3-1
Nott'm Forest
Ritchie (4'), Gayle (63', 81')
Clark (12'), Colback (53'), Yedlin (65')
Dumitru (29')
Lam (26'), Mills (59'), Pereira (61')
Mills (60')
Dec 2, 2016 7.45pm
Nott'm Forest
2-1
Newcastle
Bendtner (52'), Lascelles (86' og.)
Mancienne (44'), Lansbury (72')
Ritchie (45')
Darlow (45'), Gouffran (53'), Yedlin (93')
Shelvey (33'), Dummett (45')
Mar 29, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
7Aston Villa2912984145-445
8Bournemouth28128847341344
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2713594638844
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2796123247-1533
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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