Watford

1 - 2

Chelsea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 12.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.34%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Watford win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.