Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 10, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca4 - 1Famalicao
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 4-0 Boavista
Sunday, October 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 1-2 Famalicao
While Famalicao will be looking to build on their win over Boavista, they have struggled for results on the road this season. However, they now face an out-of-sorts Arouca side who are without a win in five consecutive outings. We anticipate a close contest at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca with the Vila Nova claiming a slender victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Famalicao |
37.72% ( 1.07) | 30.06% ( -0.37) | 32.22% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 41.72% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
