Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 11, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 2
Boavista

Mujica (27')
Ruiz (73')
Soro (10'), Opoku (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sasso (31'), Tavares (70')
Gorre (27'), Cannon (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

Last Six:

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Estoril Praia	5	2	7
11	Arouca	5	-8	7
12	Vizela	5	-1	5

Boavista head into the weekend fresh off the back of a hard-earned victory over Pacos de Ferreira and will look to keep the ball rolling. However, they face an Arouca side who have been solid on their home turf in recent weeks. We predict the Arouquenses will frustrate the efforts of the visitors and hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Boavista
38.94% ( 1.16)	28.98% ( 0.22)	32.08% ( -1.38)

Both teams to score 44.53% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.94% (

-0.95)

62.05% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.22% (

-0.71)

81.77% (

0.7)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

0.22)

30.96% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.74% (

0.26)

67.26% (

-0.27)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.5% (

-1.49)

35.5% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.74% (

-1.57)

72.26% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Arouca 38.94%

Boavista 32.08%

Draw 28.97%

Arouca	Draw	Boavista
1-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.94%	1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.97%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.08%