Arouca will head into the game with renewed confidence after ending their winless run in midweek with what was their first away win of the season. They have won four of their last five games against the hosts and we are backing them to claim all three points once again.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 45.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 27.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Basso (66' pen.), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (89') Manuel da Silva Moreira (57'), Miguel Pereira Da Silva (77'), Correa dos Santos (90+2'), Filipe Alves Araujo (90+5')
Rodrigues (23') Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (31'), Batubinsika (47'), Miguel Lapa Ricardo (79'), Assuncao (90+3')
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