Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca0 - 6Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Arouca | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Boavista | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Last Game: Braga 5-0 Maritimo
Sunday, August 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, August 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Portimonense | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Braga | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 5 | Estoril Praia | 4 | 4 | 7 |
We said: Arouca 1-2 Braga
Off the back of victories over Gil Vicente and Santa Clara, Arouca will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence as they look to end their poor streak against the visitors. However, Braga possess the firepower to get the desired result this weekend and we are tipping them to edge out the hosts once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.29%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Braga |
24.73% ( 0.11) | 25.98% ( 0.1) | 49.29% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.67% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.27% ( -0.29) | 54.73% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.95% ( -0.24) | 76.04% ( 0.24) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( -0.06) | 37.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.8% ( -0.06) | 74.2% ( 0.06) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.21) | 22.24% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.33% ( -0.32) | 55.67% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 24.73%
Braga 49.29%
Draw 25.97%
| Arouca | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 24.73% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 3% Total : 49.29% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Braga
Arouca
16.1%Draw
16.1%Braga
67.7%31
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 6pm
Dec 30, 2021 7pm
Oct 2, 2016 8.15pm
Feb 27, 2016 6.30pm
Arouca
0-0
Braga
Adilson (54'), Gege (56'), Bernardes (84')
