Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica6 - 0AVS
We said: Benfica 4-0 AVS
Benfica are overwhelming favourites to claim all three points on Sunday, and anything less than a dominant display will come as a surprise, especially with the title race potentially hinging on goal difference. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 90.06%. A draw had a probability of 7.3% and a win for AVS had a probability of 2.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 4-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | AVS |
90.06% ( 0.37) | 7.31% ( -0.21) | 2.63% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 37.14% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0.05) | 26.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.69% ( -0.06) | 46.31% ( 0.06) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.54% ( 0.05) | 3.46% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 84.91% ( 0.17) | 15.08% ( -0.17) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.47% ( -1.06) | 61.53% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 8.59% ( -0.52) | 91.41% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 90.05%
AVS 2.63%
Draw 7.31%
| Benfica | Draw | AVS |
| 3-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.23)5-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)7-1 @ 1% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 90.05% | 1-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 7.31% | 0-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.6% Total : 2.63% |
How you voted: Benfica vs AVS
Benfica
100%Draw
0.0%AVS
0.0%15
Head to Head
