Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
We said: Benfica 4-1 Arouca
Benfica are overwhelming favourites to win this, and anything short of an emphatic victory would be a surprise given the home side's explosive form and dominance in this fixture, though we expect the visitors to find the net. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 11.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 3-0 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
72.63% ( -0.05) | 15.93% ( 0.12) | 11.44% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.85) | 32.23% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.17% ( -1) | 53.83% ( 0.99) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.29% ( -0.22) | 7.7% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.55) | 27.45% ( 0.54) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( -0.72) | 39.5% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.81% ( -0.68) | 76.19% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
Benfica 72.63%
Arouca 11.44%
Draw 15.93%
| Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.52% Total : 72.63% | 1-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 15.93% | 1-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.56% Total : 11.44% |
How you voted: Benfica vs Arouca
Benfica
88.0%Draw
12.0%Arouca
0.0%25
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 9.15pm
