Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 0AVS
We said: Porto 2-0 AVS
While Porto's inconsistency has been evident, with their struggles to turn draws into wins at home compounding their woes, they should still have enough to overcome an AVS side that has also struggled on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for AVS had a probability of 8.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.01%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | AVS |
76.43% ( -1.01) | 15.36% ( 0.6) | 8.2% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 44.2% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% ( -1.42) | 40.24% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% ( -1.48) | 62.61% ( 1.47) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.2% ( -0.57) | 8.79% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 69.82% ( -1.4) | 30.17% ( 1.39) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.47% ( 0.01) | 51.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.3% ( 0.01) | 85.69% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 76.42%
AVS 8.2%
Draw 15.36%
| Porto | Draw | AVS |
| 2-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.42% | 1-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 15.36% | 0-1 @ 3% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.2% |
How you voted: Porto vs AVS
Porto
100%Draw
0.0%AVS
0.0%5
Head to Head
