Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Oct 4, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Estádio da Luz

Benfica
3 - 2
Farense

Pizzi (15'), Seferovic (79', 87')
Gabriel (50'), Otamendi (52'), Almeida (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Lucca (54'), Fernandes (90+5')
Nunes (34'), Cesar (63'), Scheid (89')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and SC Farense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 13.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	SC Farense
67.8%	18.61%	13.59%

Both teams to score 52.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.27%

39.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.92%

62.08%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.24%

10.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.27%

34.73%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.85%

41.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.31%

77.68%

Score Analysis

Benfica 67.8%

SC Farense 13.59%

Draw 18.61%

Benfica	Draw	SC Farense
2-0 @ 11% 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 7.26% 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.23% 5-0 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 4.25% Total : 67.8%	1-1 @ 8.76% 0-0 @ 4.42% 2-2 @ 4.34% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.61%	0-1 @ 3.93% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.28% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.59%