Farense

0 - 1

Nacional

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.