Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
40.41% ( -0.35) | 26.75% ( -0.06) | 32.84% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 51.22% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% ( 0.34) | 53.75% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( 0.28) | 75.23% ( -0.28) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0.03) | 26.13% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0.04) | 61.2% ( 0.04) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( 0.44) | 30.65% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.1% ( 0.52) | 66.9% ( -0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |