Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 23.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
49.33% ( 0.08) | 26.69% ( -0.05) | 23.98% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.99% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.15% ( 0.14) | 57.85% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.43% ( 0.11) | 78.57% ( -0.11) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( 0.1) | 23.55% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( 0.14) | 57.6% ( -0.14) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.15% ( 0.04) | 39.84% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.49% ( 0.04) | 76.51% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 13.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 23.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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