Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
35.04% ( -0.26) | 29.03% ( -0.02) | 35.93% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 44.79% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.07% ( 0.07) | 61.93% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.32% ( 0.06) | 81.68% ( -0.06) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.14) | 33.37% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.15) | 70% ( 0.15) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 0.22) | 32.78% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( 0.25) | 69.35% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |