Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 35.93%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
35.04% ( -0.26) | 29.03% ( -0.02) | 35.93% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 44.79% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.07% ( 0.07) | 61.93% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.32% ( 0.06) | 81.68% ( -0.06) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% ( -0.14) | 33.37% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.01% ( -0.15) | 70% ( 0.15) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 0.22) | 32.78% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( 0.25) | 69.35% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 12% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |