Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 1-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Boavista win was 1-0 (12.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
31.35% | 30.98% | 37.67% |
Both teams to score 39.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.74% | 68.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.89% | 86.11% |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.51% | 39.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% | 76.19% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.97% | 35.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.23% | 71.77% |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 6.26% 2-0 @ 5.97% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.47% Total : 31.35% | 0-0 @ 13.83% 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.97% | 0-1 @ 14.51% 0-2 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-3 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |