Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 26, 2022 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 3
Estoril

Kayky (15'), Butzke (77')
Djalo (53'), Peixoto (68'), Butzke (88')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Carlos (26', 43'), Lea Siliki (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

Last Six:

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-3 Portimonense
Monday, August 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Famalicao	3	-5	1
17	Pacos de Ferreira	2	-4	0
18	Maritimo	3	-10	0

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-2 Estoril Praia

Friday's game sees two sides who have stumbled into the new season square off and we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale-boosting result. Given their current form, Pacos de Ferreira and Estoril head into the weekend evenly matched on paper and we predict the spoils will be shared in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 45.83%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Estoril Praia
45.83% ( 0.01)	28.05% ( 0.25)	26.12% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 44.18% (

-0.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.9% (

-0.97)

61.1% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.93% (

-0.73)

81.07% (

0.73)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

-0.45)

26.69% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05% (

-0.59)

61.95% (

0.59)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.26% (

-0.77)

39.73% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.59% (

-0.72)

76.41% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 45.82%

Estoril Praia 26.12%

Draw 28.04%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 14% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.82%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.04%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.41% Total : 26.12%