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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Chaves

Porto
3 - 0
Chaves

Taremi (3'), Evanilson (70'), Franco (82')
Uribe (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guimaraes (28'), Morim (67'), Monte (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Chaves

Last Six:
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Rio Ave
Monday, September 5 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Chaves

 While Chaves will look to maintain their solid run of results, they take on a Porto side who will be looking to make an immediate positive response to their Champions League defeat. The Dragoes have turned their home ground into a fortress, winning each of their last 12 games in front of their fans, and we are backing them to continue in the same vein and extend their dominance over the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.1%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.05%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawChaves
80.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 12.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 6.9% (0.0019 0)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)33.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)55.12% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.53% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)6.47% (0.017 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)24.18% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.05% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)49.95% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.37% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)84.62% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Porto 80.1%
    Chaves 6.91%
    Draw 12.98%
PortoDrawChaves
2-0 @ 12.11% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 80.1%
1-1 @ 6.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.23% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 12.98%
0-1 @ 2.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 6.91%

How you voted: Porto vs Chaves

Porto
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Chaves
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2019 7pm
Chaves
1-4
Porto
Gallo (76' pen.)
Singh (59')
Tiquinho (24', 42', 68'), Coelho (87' og.)
Tiquinho (35'), Corona (61')
Aug 11, 2018 9pm
Porto
5-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (14', 20'), Brahimi (45'), Corona (71'), Mouandilmadji (88')

Eustaquio (50'), Martins (58')
Teixeira (80')
Feb 11, 2018 4pm
Chaves
0-4
Porto

Pereira (21'), Bressan (45')
Tiquinho (14', 28'), Marega (57'), Oliveira (91')
Otavinho (49'), Pereira (56'), Corona (65'), Majeed Waris (65')
Sep 9, 2017 8.30pm
Porto
3-0
Chaves
Aboubakar (49'), Soares (86'), Marega (89')
Torres (53')

Djavan (64'), Paulinho (75'), Ricardo (90')
Apr 29, 2017 8.30pm
Chaves
0-2
Porto

Bressan (41'), Queiros (45'), Nelson (54'), Davidson (65'), Ponck (75')
Soares (52'), Andre (72')
Pereira (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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