Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 5, 2022 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 1
Rio Ave

Hernandez (32')
Hernandez (54'), Teixeira (63'), Vitor (90+1'), Monte (90+5'), Vitoria (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Acevedo (90')
Joca (6'), Yakubu (18'), Pantalon (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves and Rio Ave picked up one win apiece in their two meetings in the Segunda Liga last term, so we can expect another close contest on Monday. Both sides head into the game off the back of impressive wins and we predict that they will cancel each other out and settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 43%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Rio Ave
43% ( 1.34)	27.75% ( 0.02)	29.25% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 46.88% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.38% (

-0.52)

58.62% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.82% (

-0.41)

79.18% (

0.41)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.47)

27% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

0.61)

62.36% (

-0.61)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22% (

-1.31)

35.78% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.45% (

-1.37)

72.55% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Chaves 43%

Rio Ave 29.25%

Draw 27.75%

Chaves	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.93% Total : 43%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) Other @ 2% Total : 29.25%