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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 15, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
Tondela

Farense
1 - 0
Tondela

Gauld (79' pen.)
Queta (64'), Abner (90+7'), Beto (90+9'), Nogueira (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olabe (66'), Agra (77')
Agra (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for SC Farense in this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawTondela
42.32%27.92%29.76%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.96%59.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.5%79.49%
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43%27.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91%63.08%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39%35.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63%72.37%
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 42.31%
    Tondela 29.76%
    Draw 27.92%
SC FarenseDrawTondela
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 8.15%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-0 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 42.31%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.81%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 6.74%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 29.76%

How you voted: Farense vs Tondela

SC Farense
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Tondela
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 16
Tondela
2-0
Farense
Pedro (46'), Barbosa (90+6')
Martinez (50'), Murillo (60'), Barbosa (79'), Bebeto (85'), Niasse (90')

Pinto (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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