Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 22, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Tondela2 - 1Nacional
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Nacional |
| 38.88% | 29.35% | 31.77% |
| Both teams to score 43.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
