Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.