Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Tondela |
47.63% | 27.36% | 25% |
Both teams to score 45.12% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.55% | 59.45% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.18% | 79.82% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.95% | 25.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.27% | 59.72% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.2% | 39.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.53% | 76.46% |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 4.06% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.53% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.97% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.39% Total : 25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |