Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
48.17% | 27.24% | 24.59% |
Both teams to score 45.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.69% | 59.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.29% | 79.71% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% | 24.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% | 59.28% |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.9% | 40.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.26% | 76.74% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.85% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 4.14% 1-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.35% Total : 24.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |