Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
22.75% | 27.28% | 49.97% |
Both teams to score 43.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.23% | 60.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.18% | 80.82% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.29% | 42.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.96% | 79.04% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.47% | 24.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% | 59% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.91% 2-1 @ 5.33% 2-0 @ 3.79% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.08% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.07% Total : 22.75% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 3.74% Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 14.72% 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-3 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.23% Total : 49.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 5 | 34 | 33 |
2 | Porto | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 25 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Braga | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 20 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Casa Pia | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 10 |
13 | AVS | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 9 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
16 | Nacional | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 8 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 5 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |