MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 08:26:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Gradski Stadion

Slaven Koprivnica
3 - 2
Varazdin

Strkalj (16', 82'), Hoxha (18')
Stefulj (29'), Liber (31'), Strkalj (83'), Susak (90+4')
Liber (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Pellumbi (31'), Elezi (38')
Jelenic (40'), Nekic (72')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Slaven Koprivnica and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 1-0 Osijek
Saturday, September 30 at 6.15pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-0 Gorica
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slaven Koprivnica win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slaven Koprivnica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slaven Koprivnica would win this match.

Result
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawNK Varazdin
38.18% (-0.321 -0.32) 26.16% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 35.66% (0.346 0.35)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.152 0.15)50.89% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.132 0.13)72.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
Slaven Koprivnica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.108 -0.11)26.02% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.143 -0.14)61.05% (0.137 0.14)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.279 0.28)27.47% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (0.36300000000001 0.36)62.96% (-0.369 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Slaven Koprivnica 38.18%
    NK Varazdin 35.66%
    Draw 26.15%
Slaven KoprivnicaDrawNK Varazdin
1-0 @ 9.62% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.97% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.66%

Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 2
Varazdin
2-2
Slaven Koprivnica
Mitrovski (5'), Brodic (28')
Belcar (27'), Banovec (90+5')
Hoxha (81'), Mioc (86' pen.)
Martinaga (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HNK RijekaRijeka85301511418
2Hajduk Split8530125718
3Dinamo Zagreb85121991016
4NK VarazdinVarazdin833264212
5Sibenik832369-311
6Osijek8314810-210
7GoricaGorica8224913-48
8NK Istra 1961Istra 19618224414-108
9NK Lokomotiva8125615-95
10Slaven Koprivnica8116813-54


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