MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 22:40:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadion Andelko Herjavec

Varazdin
1 - 0
Gorica

Postonjski (26' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Prsir (89')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Varazdin and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 1-1 Varazdin
Friday, September 22 at 5pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for NK Varazdin in this match.

Result
NK VarazdinDrawGorica
37.27% (-7.441 -7.44) 27.21% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 35.52% (7.363 7.36)
Both teams to score 50.22% (2.211 2.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77% (1.659 1.66)55.22% (-1.661 -1.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54% (1.348 1.35)76.46% (-1.348 -1.35)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (-3.27 -3.27)28.6% (3.27 3.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (-4.288 -4.29)64.4% (4.287 4.29)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (6.039 6.04)29.66% (-6.039 -6.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (6.762 6.76)65.71% (-6.763 -6.76)
Score Analysis
    NK Varazdin 37.26%
    Gorica 35.51%
    Draw 27.21%
NK VarazdinDrawGorica
1-0 @ 10.61% (-1.8 -1.8)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.704 -0.7)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-1.879 -1.88)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.649 -0.65)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-1.129 -1.13)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.325 -0.33)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.26%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.48% (-0.56 -0.56)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.386 0.39)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.3% (0.987 0.99)
1-2 @ 7.84% (1.255 1.26)
0-2 @ 6.26% (1.467 1.47)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.915 0.92)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.891 0.89)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.436 0.44)
1-4 @ 0.97% (0.383 0.38)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.51%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Gorica
1-1
Varazdin
Vujnovic (28')
Soldo (53'), Steenvoorden (77')
Brodic (80')
Jelenic (20'), Elezi (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1HNK RijekaRijeka178902471733
2Hajduk Split1796226131333
3Dinamo Zagreb1775532221026
4NK VarazdinVarazdin176831410426
5Osijek177462621525
6Slaven Koprivnica175572124-320
7NK Istra 1961Istra 1961174671627-1118
8NK Lokomotiva174491927-816
9Sibenik174491431-1716
10GoricaGorica1743101525-1015


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