Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umm Salal win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Al Mu'aidar had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umm Salal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Al Mu'aidar win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umm Salal would win this match.

Result
Al Mu'aidar	Draw	Umm Salal
32.6% ( 0.13)	24.49% ( 0.04)	42.91% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 58.66% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.9% (

-0.13)

44.09% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.52% (

-0.12)

66.47% (

0.12)

Al Mu'aidar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

0.02)

26.06% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

0.03)

61.1% (

-0.03)

Umm Salal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

-0.13)

20.66% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.76% (

-0.2)

53.24% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Al Mu'aidar 32.6%

Umm Salal 42.91%

Draw 24.48%

Al Mu'aidar	Draw	Umm Salal
2-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.6%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 42.91%