MX23RW : Friday, November 8 11:40:56| >> :60:107:107:
Edinburgh City
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium

Edinburgh
1 - 4
East Kilbride

Peter (61')
Omojiade (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
S (43' og.), McDonald (47'), Roy (63'), Lyon (76')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Edinburgh City and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Edinburgh 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Stirling 0-3 East Kilbride
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Falkirk142.80Maciver
2QotS122.40Reilly
3Hamilton91.80One
4Alloa71.40Rodden
5Annan61.20Docherty
6Cove Rangers61.20Burrell
7Montrose61.20Brown
8Kelty Hearts51.00Cunningham
9Stirling51.00Cooper
10Edinburgh30.60Murray

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-3 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-3 (6.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 2-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawEast Kilbride
13.09% (0.893 0.89) 14.52% (1.012 1.01) 72.38% (-1.91 -1.91)
Both teams to score 68.35% (-1.897 -1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.93% (-2.946 -2.95)20.06% (2.943 2.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.81% (-4.314 -4.31)38.18% (4.311 4.31)
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-1.306 -1.31)28.08% (1.303 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (-1.689 -1.69)63.75% (1.685 1.69)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.04% (-0.899 -0.9)4.96% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.14% (-2.783 -2.78)19.85% (2.781 2.78)
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 13.1%
    East Kilbride 72.38%
    Draw 14.52%
Edinburgh CityDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 3.37% (0.35 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 1.77% (0.336 0.34)
3-1 @ 1.43% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 1.12% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 13.1%
1-1 @ 5.31% (0.722 0.72)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.223 0.22)
3-3 @ 2.15% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 1.39% (0.305 0.31)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 14.52%
1-3 @ 7.99% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.98% (0.626 0.63)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.331 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.28% (0.702 0.7)
1-4 @ 6% (-0.288 -0.29)
2-3 @ 5.07% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-4 @ 4.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-1 @ 4.18% (0.699 0.7)
2-4 @ 3.81% (-0.332 -0.33)
1-5 @ 3.61% (-0.425 -0.43)
0-5 @ 2.84% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-5 @ 2.29% (-0.366 -0.37)
1-6 @ 1.81% (-0.347 -0.35)
3-4 @ 1.61% (-0.207 -0.21)
0-6 @ 1.42% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-6 @ 1.15% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-5 @ 0.97% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 72.38%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Edinburgh
0-1
East Kilbride
Brady (71')
Stevenson (59'), Coll (64')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Second Round
East Kilbride
2-3
Edinburgh
McNeil (72'), Malcolm (73')
Woods (52'), Holmes (56')
Henderson (36'), Smith (84', 86')
Balatoni (38'), Henderson (55')
rhs 2.0
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