Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 22.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.05%) and 0-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Queen of the South in this match.
Result | ||
Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
22.77% ( 0.2) | 21.55% ( 0.11) | 55.68% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 60.76% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.31% ( -0.29) | 37.68% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.07% ( -0.31) | 59.92% ( 0.31) |
Edinburgh City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.24% ( 0.01) | 29.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.18% ( 0.01) | 65.82% ( -0.01) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.5% ( -0.19) | 13.5% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.47% ( -0.38) | 40.53% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Edinburgh City | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 22.77% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.55% | 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 55.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Montrose | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 14 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
10 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 0 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |