MX23RW : Tuesday, October 1 11:47:51| >> :60:13:13:
Elgin City
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Briggs

Elgin
1 - 0
Dundee Utd Res.

Hester (61')
Dolzanski (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Duffy (69')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Elgin City and Dundee United Reserves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elgin City

Last Six:
Last Game: Stirling 2-2 Elgin
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish League Two

Dundee United Reserves

Last Six:
    Last Game: Stenhousemuir 3-0 Dundee Utd Res.
    Tuesday, August 10 at 7.30pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Dundee United Reserves had a probability of 17.55%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Dundee United Reserves win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.

    Result
    Elgin CityDrawDundee United Reserves
    62.01% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09) 20.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 17.55% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
    Both teams to score 55.77% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    59.83% (0.051000000000002 0.05)40.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    37.46% (0.053000000000004 0.05)62.54% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
    Elgin City Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    87.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)12.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    61.63% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)38.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
    Dundee United Reserves Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    63.69% (0.112 0.11)36.3% (-0.113 -0.11)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    26.91% (0.115 0.11)73.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
    Score Analysis
        Elgin City 62.01%
        Dundee United Reserves 17.55%
        Draw 20.44%
    Elgin CityDrawDundee United Reserves
    2-1 @ 9.94%
    2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
    1-0 @ 9.41% (-0.025 -0.03)
    3-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
    3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
    4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
    3-2 @ 3.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
    4-2 @ 1.82% (0.004 0)
    5-1 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
    5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
    Other @ 3.68%
    Total : 62.01%
    		1-1 @ 9.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    2-2 @ 5.04% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
    0-0 @ 4.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
    3-3 @ 1.18% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
    Other @ 0.17%
    Total : 20.44%
    		1-2 @ 4.83% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
    0-1 @ 4.58% (0.0029999999999992 0)
    0-2 @ 2.32% (0.008 0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.7% (0.011 0.01)
    1-3 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
    Other @ 2.49%
    Total : 17.55%

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