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Real Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 20, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Betis logo

Real Madrid
0 - 0
Real Betis

FT

Preview: Real Madrid vs. Real Betis - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Madrid will bring their La Liga title-winning campaign to a close on Friday evening, with fifth-placed Real Betis making the trip to Bernabeu.

Los Blancos, who won the title at the end of April, will enter the match off the back of a 1-1 draw with Cadiz on Sunday, while Real Betis recorded a 2-0 victory over Granada last time out.


Match preview

Real Madrid's Karim Benzema scores against Levante on May 12, 2022© Reuters

Real Madrid have only won one of their three La Liga matches since being confirmed as champions at the end of April, with the victory coming in their last home fixture, thumping Levante 6-0.

Los Blancos will enter this contest off the back of a 1-1 draw at Cadiz, with Ruben Sobrino cancelling out an early effort from Mariano Diaz, but the champions were missing a number of key players at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla, and it would be fair to say that their full focus is currently on in the Champions League final.

Indeed, Carlo Ancelotti's side will be looking to make it a double at the end of the month, as they prepare to take on Liverpool in the European Cup final; the Spanish giants are going in search of their 14th trophy in the competition and their first since 2018.

Real Madrid have been comfortably the best side in Spain's top flight this season, winning 26, drawing seven and losing four of their 37 matches, scoring 80 times and conceding 31 in the process.

Ancelotti's team also have the best home record in La Liga this term, collecting 43 points from 18 matches, suffering just one defeat in the process, but they will be welcoming a Real Betis outfit with the third-best away form, having secured 32 points from their 18 games on their travels.

Real Betis' Borja Iglesias celebrates scoring their first goal with Marc Bartra on March 17, 2022© Reuters

Despite sitting just three points behind fourth-placed Sevilla ahead of the final set of fixtures, Real Betis cannot finish in the Champions League spots due to their inferior head-to-head record against their rivals, so it will be fifth or sixth for the Green and Whites this term, already securing a spot in next season's Europa League.

Manuel Pellegrini's side have enjoyed a strong campaign, lifting the Copa del Rey earlier this month, while fifth would represent their highest finish in Spain's top flight since claiming fourth in 2005.

Real Betis are only two points ahead of sixth-placed Real Sociedad, though, and a defeat to Real Madrid would open the door for the Basque outfit, who are at home to Atletico Madrid on Sunday.

The Greens will enter this match off the back of a 2-0 win over Granada on Sunday, while they also beat Valencia 3-0 on May 10, so it has been an impressive last eight days for the club, who were knocked out in the last-16 stage of this season's Europa League by Eintracht Frankfurt.

Real Betis, as mentioned, have been impressive on their travels in La Liga this term, and the Seville outfit claimed a point in a goalless draw with Real Madrid at Bernabeu last season, while their last success away to the reigning Spanish champions was in May 2019.

Real Madrid La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Real Madrid form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Real Betis La Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Real Betis form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W


Team News

David Alaba celebrates scoring for Real Madrid in October 2021© Reuters

Real Madrid have had David Alaba back in full training this week, with the Austria international recovering from an adductor problem, but he has been left out of the squad for this match.

Eden Hazard had also been a doubt with the foot problem that he picked up against Cadiz, but the Belgium international is in the squad for Friday's fixture.

Marcelo, Gareth Bale and Isco are also all pushing to be involved, with the trio all potentially leaving the club this summer.

Thibaut Courtois, Vinicius Junior and Karim Benzema were all rested against Cadiz, while Luka Modric was suspended, but all four should return to the starting side here.

Dani Carvajal and Ferland Mendy could also come back in, but Casemiro might be given a rest, with Eduardo Camavinga potentially starting alongside Modric and Kroos.

As for Real Betis, Claudio Bravo, Victor Camarasa and Martin Montoya will again miss out through injury, but Marc Bartra is available again following a suspension.

Hector Bellerin could make his final appearance for the Greens, as the defender prepares to return to parent club Arsenal this summer, and it would not be a surprise to see the same side that took to the field against Granada last time out.

Willian Jose is pushing to be involved at centre-forward, but Borja Iglesias should keep his spot, while Joaquin and Andres Guardado will likely have to accept late substitute roles once again.

Real Madrid possible starting lineup:
Courtois; Carvajal, Nacho, Militao, Mendy; Kroos, Camavinga, Modric; Rodrygo, Benzema, Vinicius

Real Betis possible starting lineup:
Silva; Bellerin, Pezzella, Gonzalez, Moreno; Rodriguez, Carvalho; Canales, Fekir, Juanmi; Iglesias


SM words green background

We say: Real Madrid 1-1 Real Betis

Real Betis will be keen to ensure that they finish above Real Sociedad in fifth, while Real Madrid will just be focused on getting through the match without any injuries. Under normal circumstances, we would be backing Ancelotti's side to secure a narrow win here, but Real Betis could take advantage of Real Madrid's focus being elsewhere to claim a share of the spoils at Bernabeu.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Real Betis win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Real Betis

Real Madrid
60.9%
Draw
28.0%
Real Betis
11.1%
279
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Real Madrid's Karim Benzema celebrates scoring their first goal on April 2, 2022
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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